23 Oct Summary/ Forgive File (from 22/8)
Produced by: https://www.ozracingform.com
SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing was at MOONEE VALLEY on Saturday on a quickly upgraded GOOD-4 track with the rail 4m. There was a significant bias to runners on the speed, close to the inside rail so be very careful with all of this form!
Run Of The Day:
Given the aforementioned savage bias, thought there were four outstanding performances on the day: CATCH A FIRE, ALBONETTI, PRECIOUS GEM and THE UNITED STATES… Tough call but giving the major prize to the latter, THE UNITED STATES given he was the only winner all-day to come from the back and away from the inside lanes, and, he recorded a terrific last 200m split of 11.72 in that inferior ground, off a strong speed, in high-pressure race!
An excellent return win it was, he ran 1-32.47 overall and bloused the match-fit, in-form ABBASSO who was very well ridden today. LETMEDOWNGENTLY is a ripper mare, she worked early then was pressured by KENJORWOOD and had no peace, she fought back to beat him but was just no match for the quinella, look at the replay though, 50m past the line she is back in front again! What a will to win she has, bulldog!! ALMOONQITH made a pleasing Oz debut, albeit saving ground in the best part of the track, only the quinella had faster last 400/200m splits. FOUNDRY didn’t quicken like winner/ stablemate but hit the line OK, he ran 12.06 last 200m (winner 11.72 as mentioned).
Race 7 was the Carlyon Stks and the speed was on. 34.7 1st-600m set it up for those just off the strong tempo. LE BONSIR was well ridden, travelled sweetly and ran over JUST MAGICAL whom he certainly had the last crack at, it was the winner’s first ever go at 1000m and he coped really well with a fast-run 1000m, he loves The Valley! IL CAVALLO sat up on-speed and just lasted for third over KLISHINA who was good from back and wide against the bias. ECLAIR CHOICE was with the winner 500m out but didn’t quicken like him, he finished off OK but the 1000m was too sharp. FAST CASH was run off his legs but went over the line sweetly, his 11.73 last 200m was bettered only by winner (11.68) and OUR NKWAZI (11.69 – flying for easier/ wetter). Overall time: 58.34
Race 6 was a bit of a non-event, for the second week in a row the new season male 3yo’s produced an inconclusive race result. The leaders ran 1-2-3 here after leading at a walk, 37.09 1st-600m, on a leaders track. For perspective, Strykum led in race 1 (3yo/ also 1200m race) and didn’t go hard, however, he would have been leading this field 5L with 600m to travel. If you were not sitting first, second here, you were toast! Overall time was a moderate 1-11.7. WELL SPRUNG led and kept going to well for DANUKI who had sat second. ODYSSEY MOON was 3-wide and cleverly went up third given the tempo, he stuck on well. EL GRECO closed well from midfield Vs tempo/bias and ran a great race, his 11.66 last 200m was bettered only by MANHATTAN BLUES (11.63 – fastest last 200m all day) who was 100,000/1 after they’d gone 400m from way back there. Never decry winning form but caution advised here.
Better mention STRYKUM and race 1, winner gave them all weight (1kg) and led in 36.16 1st-600m with bias in favour, and kicked/won beating JUST ONE MOMENT (sat 2nd) and SEBRING SALLY (midfield inside/ kept closing) with CATCH A FIRE fourth, his run was enormous, way back Vs bias/tempo, held-up, held-up then attacked the line when clear, he ran an 11.79 last 200m (only runner to break 12-seconds this race!) and was, well, one of the runs of the day no matter how you read it. Overall time though, was slow, 1-11.91. Not sure about this form/race either!
TAWTEEN won Race 4 and by now, we knew the pattern! The win had merit though, she led and was pressured yet kicked strongly on a track she loves, they broke 34-secs 1st-600m here and ran slick overall time (1-10.15). PILLY’S WISH is a ripper here too, she closed well after saving ground (best going) and beat CATCH THAT CAT (rails trail/ solid return) and PRECIOUS GEM who sat back, came wide with no trail in yet still rushed home Vs the bias, fancy her run ended the last 100m (late splits back that up – race-fastest 24.06 last 400m, then home 12.37 last 200m, this was bettered by Pilly’s Wish in 12.28).
THE FORGIVE FILE:
CATCH A FIRE (umm, yeah), SISTINE SPIRIT (bias/ wants further), GREY STREET (bias), SCHERZOSO (tardy/ too far back), HARVEYS TRUE HEART (bias), SO DOES HE (wide), ALBONETTI (super Vs bias/ don’t sack!), TRY FOUR (back/wide), STINGRAY (margin unfair), SARDAAJ (shuffled back/ held-up/ flew! Should have won???), JERSEY WHISTLER (back/wide), TANKSTER (bias), LIVING ON A PRAYER (4-wide), BOSTON LIGHT (tardy/ never got a crack!), MANHATTAN BLUES (bias/ tempo), DESTINY’S REWARD (wide), GREGERS (wide/ bias), SHE’S ELLIE (3-deep), BEACH FRONT (bias), OUR NKWAZI (bias), FAST CASH (bias), BLACKIE (back and wide), HULA LUA (give it some hope!) and CRAFTY CRUISER (came wide 61.5kg).
In SYDNEY it was RANDWICK on GOOD track with Rail 6m. There was no bias/pattern here, winners could lead or swoop if good enough, and if tempo was there.
Run Of The Day:
SASENKILE (can win a Metrop) and WINE TALES (come back well) are on the podium however, going with MUSIC MAGNATE this day. Sat midfield and wide, was able to then get some cover and charged out after fit, in-form FELL SWOOP who had the dream run, they beat 3rd clearly, MUSIC MAGNATE trialled super prior and looked like there was plenty of improvement in him. Terrific return!
Winner FELL SWOOP ran good time, 56.79 and as mentioned, is flying. GRAND CONDOR was over 2L away after having the dream run, simply no match for the quinella. WONDERBOLT kept closing OK into 4th after tracking the runner-up.
The Warwick Stks was the feature and ROYAL DESCENT had the sweet run, and won quite well, that should give her a tremendous confidence boost, she went by PORNICHET (sat 2nd/ good return also) with MESSENE and every chance 3rd. BEATEN UP sat off them in 5th and closed quite well from KERMADEC who was tardy then recovered to midfield, he ran home nicely (run ended late/ fitter !!) in a race of little change, for mine, he was as good as anything this race. ZARATONE led in a strong 46.86 1st-800m and held on for 6th. Overall time 1-21.57 is a useful gallop.
The Show County was Race 7 and again, it was a race of little change, speed was OK (34.7 1st-600m) and DECISION TIME led them, who looked likely to be swamped more than once but kept responding! BOSS LANE dived and grabbed 2nd (had chance) and VASHKA sat up 2nd, travelled well but leader would not stop! AOMEN was the best of the closers against race pattern while BEST CASE hit the line super fresh off long spell, nice work him.
The Silver Shadow Stks was won by SPEAK FONDLY who led in 35.4 1st-600m and travelled well, kicked well, won well, she gave them all 2-3kg too. KIMBERLEY STAR came from the back and ran home well down outside, they had 2.8L on LAKE GENEVA who didn’t ping but was OK over the line, further? ITALY made some ground. Time: 1-9.47
Race 5 was run at a hot speed, 46.28 1st-800m means leaders here would’ve led Zaratone in the G2 race by 3L midway. They broke 1-22 for 1400m her also (1-21.7). FORGET came from midfield with runner-up BOLD CIRCLE and was a bit too tough/ genuine. KURTLEY settled 1-1 and joined in early, thought he ran super given it was set-up for run-ons. EL SASSO (sound on-pace) and SASENKILE (lovely late work!) were noteworthy, SPY DECODER was backed and ran very well for mine with plenty against him…. which takes us too….
THE FORGIVE FILE:
CANNYESCENT (held-up key stage), INNER CIRLCE (went too hard), WINE TALES (should’ve won), IL MIO DESTINO (no peace), SPY DECODER (back/wide no cover/ still hit line!), COMPLACENT (run off track), CASINO DANCER (blocked key stage) and PLUTORIUS (luckless key stage also).
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– Gator
www.ozracingform.com
Related Tag: Professional Horse Racing Tips Melbourne
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