23 Oct Summary/ Forgive File from 20/2
Produced by: https://www.ozracingform.com
SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing was at FLEMINGTON on Saturday on GOOD track with rail back TRUE. There was no mad pattern/bias on circle races, however, the straight races were dominated by those who came to the outside rail/ division.
RUN OF THE DAY:
Your votes are through and 46% of you went with CHAUTAUQUA as the Run Of The Day. That finishing speed is just outstanding, it is reserved for only world-class racehorses and is just awesome to watch! He looked in serious trouble 200m or so from home then just went into overdrive and robbed them right on the line!
His last 200m split was a sizzling 11.26 and he recorded an overall time of 57.02, he grabbed TERRAVISTA who, not for the first time, quickened beautifully and looked the winner, he just has trouble sustaining that speed, of course, rider fumbling for the whip may not have helped, for mine though, he was at his top and peaked that last 100m (again!). JAPONISME led the outside division in 34.79 1st-600m, was collared by TERRAVISTA but surged again late and these three had 1.5L on EXOSPHERE on the line, however, he just never made it to the ‘’faster’’ race (outside), he also looked a bit lost solo up the middle, experienced and respected track walkers thought best ground was either on inside rail, or, past the middle, not UP the middle… Individual splits are interesting: TERRAVISTA 600-400-200 was 1.33/ 10.38 whilst CHAUTAUQUA was 10.3/ 10.49 – then, last 200m winner 11.26 and TERRAVISTA 11.58. Other key runner DELECTATION, well, he was run off his feet a little at the 1000m but kept responding, he ran well also.
To the two 3YO Races:
Vanity Stks (Fillies) was won by DON’T DOUBT MAMMA who sat back off the modest tempo (48.76 1st-800m) but had clear running and sailed by JAMEKA (sat 1-1/ sound return) and held off EGYPT who rushed home off her back running race-fastest 11.32 last 200m, yes, she was match-fit and had 55kg but the run was very good. PERFECT REFLECTION on the other hand never had full momentum until around 150m from home, she picked-up and hit the line (11.41) with her 58.5kg, many are potting her, not me!! SACRED EYE led and held on OK. ALASKAN ROSE is a B-grader. Time: 1-22.73
The boys in CS Hayes Stks ran 1-22.77 off a 48.67 1st-800m, the ran along early to the eye then leader’s put the brakes on. Worth noting though, there was very little difference between the two divisions in 1st-600m or 1st-800m splits, also, the differential of the splits 800m-to-400m: Fillies went 23.31 800m-to-400m whilst boys went 23.16, so, actually, a fraction QUICKER than the girls… Hmmm.
TIVACI was promoted as the winner after umpires decided PALENTINO caused enough interference 900m from home to warrant the small margin between them, umpires were obviously super-confident also they knew exactly how the race would have unfolded for that last 900m had their been no interference. No matter what your view is, TIVACI’s run was excellent, forced wide a with no cart into the race a long, long way from home, he loomed up outside of PALENTINO and was going the better 300m out but PALENTINO fought hard to be first over the line. TULSA went back last and sat just off the quinella, he was really charging but didn’t help himself by running onto their heels 150m from home, he ran 22.46/ 11.69 home Vs Palentino’s 22.59/ 11.64. LIZARD ISLAND was 1st-up whilst the others were 2nd-up and he hit line 22.62/ 11.67 in a nice return! These four had a little margin on SOVEREIGN NATION (sound 2nd-up/ others were stronger late as mentioned). Plenty of drama !!
Back to Race 2 and WEATHERLY impressed! He missed the kick again and was left exposed outside (faster division) a long way from home yet powered away and was hardly punished late, he ran 1-3.87 off an even 30.29 1st-500m split and beat debutante CONSCIOUS who was very new early in the race, she was back with the winner and rushed home (also on faster outside section) running 11.69 last 200m Vs WEATHERLY’s 11.62. Of the others: JACKSON sat back on slower inside race and ran home well, he won that side, and was third overall, BATTLE ORDER wasn’t far off him that side in fourth after having nice midfield run with cover and both CALL ME TESS and the reported second coming of Black Caviar, CLOCKWORK ORANGE, was quite good given shared speed inside well off that inside rail.
ESTAMINET measured up well in Race 3, she was dominant and ran only .38 seconds off Chatuaqua’s time (57.4) for the 1000m (had 54kg). The 1st-600m split was 34.9 so only marginally slower than that of the G1 Lightning and not this race, they all came towards the inside lanes… She was backed as if unbeatable also. SCRATCHY LASS ran home well and is still on the up. AFLEET ESPRIT had the big weight, had a chequered run, but went over line nicely for 3rd in pleasing return, despite, huge betting drift. She was 1/100ths second quicker home than ESTAMINET for the record.
Race 9 was won by WE’VE GOT THIS and his rider made a split second decision early, ‘’let’s go to the outside’’ and it was a very smart call. The first four home here were all on that faster outside section, winner gave them a start and rushed by them recording 1-9.64 for 1200m off 35.89 1st-600m, his last 200m was a neat 11.56 and clearly race-fastest. ROUGH JUSTICE was back to his honest best out there, SWEET AS BRO made a pleasing return off long break and might be back! YESTERDAY’S SONS was with first and third 300m out but no match for them to the line. ONEROUS won the inside race and doubt lost any friends (drew gate 1) and JIMANDO made a solid return off his long break with 60kg. TANSY broke 12-secs his last 200m and can win an easier race for us soon.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
PINDAN PEARL (back/wide/ slow pace), PIN YOUR HOPES (should have finished closer/ shuffled back key stage), TUFF HOST (mucous detected), PERFECT REFLECTION (no luck key stage), BON AURUM (3-wide no cover but winner was wider), RIVER WILD (blew start/ ran well), READY FOR VICTORY (keen/ took off mid race), EXOSPHERE (a tactical disaster !!), ONEROUS (wrong wide), ZEBRINE (closest inside).
In SYDNEY racing was at ROSEHILL on GOOD track. The rail was 3m and the track played well, most avoided being hard on the inside rail however, the winner of race 9 was pretty close to it !!
RUN OF THE DAY:
Had to be PRESS STATEMENT here, he was classes above them in Hobartville Stks and ran some exceptional closing splits relative to the day, just love how strong he was through the wire also !
He won in 1-22.56 for the 1400m and recorded an 11.26 last 200m, then 5.687 last 100m, both were the fastest of any winner all day! LE ROMAIN followed him everywhere and ran on into second but was in a different class. MONTAIGNE went back, had good run through and was strong to the wire, in fact, his 11.24 last 200m was one of the day’s fastest final splits and 2/100ths quicker than PRESS STATEMENT. SPILL THE BEANS led in 48.78 1st-800m and held 4th from WOLF CRY (sat 2nd) and DEL CIELO (battled well) but they all seem A- and B+ 3yos compared to PRESS STATEMENT who is A+ !! I mean, he did toy with Melb 3yo’s in Guineas remember….
What a return and great to see FIRST SEAL join in and win R5, she ran 1-16.4 for the 1300m and was too classy despite, perhaps, he run ending late, she scooted home in near 33-flat her last 600m then went 22.08/ 11.34 beating TELEPATHIC (home 11.36) who was strong over the line, lovely return from her also, I’VE GOT THE LOOKS was close-up 3rd and very solid out to 1300m here. CATKINS, well, she was left by the winner 300m out then became crowded-up… Fair to say, jury is out a little on this mighty mare.
ARAB DAWN impressed in Race 8, yes it turned out a swoopers race but from co-last on rail he weaved through and was strong beating ALLERIC who raced tight at the vital stage, he is flying still. HASSELHOOF held third and he was clearly the best of those nearer the speed, he ran well. LIBRAN was back with the winner but also found some strife and perhaps should have finished touch closer. LOOPHOLE ran on well also. ALLERGIC ran 11.52 home, LIBRAN 11.58 and they were two quickest last 200m splits. Time: 1-56.3 for 1900m.
The two 2yo races:
STRINDBERG won Race 1 and ran 1-3.53 for 1100m off 29.65 1st-500m, the time was almost identical to that of seasoned older sprinters (Coolring/ Brook Road) in R9 and he nailed REDZEL (who led at that good clip).
ASTERN won R4 and ran 1-4.13 for 1100m however, he led in a much more controlled 30.51 1st-500m, so, if races were run together, Redzel would have been leading Astern .86 seconds (roughly 4L)….so, of course they were going to run slower time overall. DEFCON sat wide no cover and loomed, he was super, as was MOUNT PANORAMA who missed kick then tacked on and loomed to win himself, just peaked late… all three were excellent for mine.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
CAN BE BOSSY (injured), TIMELESS PRINCE (got lost), MOUNT PANORAMA (slow out no help!), MAN OF CHOICE (wide no cover), BOLD CIRCLE (little luck key stage), CAFE SOCIETY (no run key stage), ONEMOREZETA (wide) and ESGRIMIDOR (no peace!).
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– Gator
www.ozracingform.com
Related Tag: Melbourne Racing Tips
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