BIG PRICE WINNERS!! G1 email 16/416

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PLEASE NOTE:
All ratings for CAULFIELD are for GOOD track. Rail is out 9m, was 6m here last time and there was no mad pattern, those away from the inside rail later in the day may have the advantage here.
In Sydney we are back at RANDWICK and ratings are for GOOD track. Rail is out 9m. Track played well at 6m last week and last time we were at 9m here the track played… well !! Watch and monitor as always.

BET OF THE DAY (Melb)
CAULFIELD – Race 3 No.2 – SCARLET BILLOWS – Lovely return 1100m off slow speed then wasn’t far off then in G1/WFA 2nd-up. Her last 3rd-up run she was 1.3L off Chautauqua. Her last 1400m run she won stakes race Flemington easily! The weight horse given 97-rating this scale !!

BET OF THE DAY (Syd)
RANDWICK – Race 9 No.13 – NANCY – Wide VS pattern and good fresh then touch stiff in Newmarket race. Like her at 1400m and she maps nicely here.

BEST VALUE BET OF THE DAY
RANDWICK – Race 6 No.2 – FAST N ROCKING – Not as dynamic on Soft last time. Very good in G1 WFA William Reid prior and perfectly suited these ‘’second level’’ sprint races at SWP level. Looks the overs here.

BEST EACH-WAY BET OF THE DAY
RADNWICK – Race 2 No.4 – AMMIRATA – Resumes. Two very good trials. Won latest under a hold. Big win with big weight fresh last prep in BM72 grade. Top pick and surprised $8 is about.

BEST ROUGHIE OF THE DAY
CAULFIELD – Race 9 No.15 – NIMINIPIMINY – Resumes. Went to new level last prep. She has fresh form and did like her jump out! Value hope at double figures in tough finish.

Lay Of The Day:
CAULFIELD – Race 4 No.3 – ENTRE NOUS – Jumps in in weights and is poorly weighted this scale overall. That says $4.2 is unders!

TOP-RATED RUNNERS:

CAULFIELD

Race 1 – BM90 – 4000m
1. 4 – DANE HUSSLER – Beat key rival here Sly Romance (level weights) when they clashed 3000m in Jan. Won well to 3600m latest easily beating Celtic Prince and now meets him better at the weights.
2. 3 – DELIBERATE – Was wide and stuck on super M’ton latest behind Sly Romance, he has 2.5kg swing here and with that, and softer run, may turn tables. They thrashed 3rd and 4th was Celtic Prince so that ties in well.
3. 5 – SLY ROMANCE – Obviously all was not well two-back, between those runs was very good 2nd MV and a strong win over key rivals here to 3400m latest.
4. 1 – JILEKS SPUR – Faded last time. Won this last year by 5L but was off stronger lead-up form…
5. 2 – CELTIC PRINCE – A trifecta hope… Next best.

Race 2 – 2YO SWP – 1200m
1. 5 – DISSOLUTE – Resumes. Led/Good second under hold in jump out. Trialled well before starting fave on debut and wasn’t far off French Fern who then won G2, Detective was second (then G2 placed), that was Soft ground and doubt he loved it.
2. 3 – URBAN RULER – Copped nasty bump early on debut yet burst through and won well sailing by last week’s winner Pyx Chamber, runner-up Stop Making Sense then won well also.
3. 2 – IF NOT NOW WHEN – Trialed well before strong debut win Bendigo in $250k feature beating key rivals here. 4th-horse Tris then won. This guy went to Cranbourne in $100k race and won again!
4. 11 – SUMMER GLEN – She was wide and ran very well in that If Not Now When race Bendigo and draws better here, has weight advantage, and upside! Can win.
5. 1 – VALLIANO – Forget the Diamond miss. Closed strongly back at 1000m latest behind If Not Now When and must have case also. 1200m suits.

Race 3 – F&M SWP – 1400m
1. 2 – SCARLET BILLOWS – Lovely return 1100m off slow speed then wasn’t far off then in G1/WFA 2nd-up. Her last 3rd-up run she was 1.3L off Chautauqua. Her last 1400m run she won stakes race Flemington easily! The weight horse given 97-rating this scale !!
2. 8 – FRENCH EMOTION – Arguably, you swap the runs with her stablemate last week and she is 5 from 5 this campaign. She was wide and ran super! Her one go 1400m was a brilliant win.
3. 1 – AFLEET ESPRIT – Went well with weight fresh after finding strife. Doubt was in A-ground 2nd-up. Tempo was no help last time in deep race. 1 for 1 at 1400m too.
4. 4 – WHISTLE BABY – Ran home well to Written 2-back and has nice weight swing. Wasn’t far off them into G3 last time.
5. 3 – WRITTEN – Top ride/win Bendigo at 1400m (that form franked last week) then blew start last time and her race was over.

Race 4 – Gold Mile – 1600m
1. 1 – RED BOMBER – Tough win 2nd-up then back/wide and wanted further in Vic Hcp. Now gets to 1600m, he is 2 from 3 at the mile and being 104-rater…. Weighted to win set-weights.
2. 2 – ZEBRINZ – Beat home Red Bomber last time and flew late Vs tempo when finished alongside him prior. He too wants 1600m now. Red Bomber has 3kg on him this scale from latest clash.
3. 4 – SABKHAT – Nice trial before solid fresh run in on-pace race Sydney run in slick time. Beat all-bar Ruling Dynasty 2nd-up last prep. In this!
4. 7 – ASHDAM – No match Entre Nous late in Wang. Cup but thrashed third and has relative weights swing here. Honest!
5. 3 -ENTRE NOUS – Going well but much harder this weight scale… Same story for 5-HOKKAIDO – but concede they are chances…

Race 5 – Gold Reef – 3YO SW – 1600m
1. 1 – TARQUIN – Returned a gelding M’ton and ran over Lahqa (then won) in record time. The mile looks a plus if anything. 86-rater so in super this set-weights scale.
2. 2 – ROYAL RUMBLE – He is best weighted runner as 91-rater. He beat older rivals at Listed grade this trip then ran on last time but was unsuited sharply back at 1250m.
3. 7 – APPROVED ANGER – Mathematically tough here as 63-rater but really liked his maiden win easily beating a talented one and that was his first go 1600m. Can measure up here for sure!
4. 10 – BENGAL CAT – Back to best last time easily beating in form Silent Sedition. She is G2 placed. Fillies keep measuring up Vs boys at 3yo level.
5. 8 – TURFONIC – Top debut win then made very good ground on Loyalty Man who has been G2 competitive. Will make a horse this guy too.

Race 6 – Gold Sprint – 1200m
1. 1 – THE QUARTERBACK – Blew start at WFA latest and stormed home in huge run! Ran over Chautauqua prior… Not many do that !! Best weighted runner here as 107-rater in another set-weights event.
2. 12 – ALMIGHTY GIRL – Just missed Heatherly two-back, that girl then placed in Oakleigh Plate beating home The Quarterback. This girl won well MV beating Secret Agenda and Super Cash and they both ran great races in Group company in The Championships.
3. 13 – JALAN JALAN – Chased good filly in fast time fresh and did look in need of run. Since trialled well. Can measure up here…
4. 10 – TYCOON TARA – Was poorly weighted fresh and ran well, she now has nice weight swing on Miss Promiscuity. Has been Group competitive herself.
5. 9 – MISS PROMISCUITY – Controlled race and beat good one in Sabatini here last time. Terrific closing splits to Malaguerra prior in hot form race.

Race 7 – Gold Heath – 2000m
1. 1 – BONDEIGER – Had pattern against fresh then made very good ground on Velox M’ton to 2000m. Was good .5L 3rd this track/trip last year 3rd-up after bad start. Clear highest rated at 93 in yet another set-weights event.
2. 5 – ADIRONDACK – Led/Gave all to High Church latest and beat Pemberley before that, at 2100m. Back in trip here but has 7.5kg swing on Winter Palace who probably should have won that High Church race.
3. 4 – WORD OF MOUTH – Did make ground on Zahspeed MV and wasn’t far off runner-up. Winner then won well again. Ok dry but any rain a bonus.
4. 14 – RONG DOOR REGGIE – The 3yo with upside. Sound in track record race won by Tarquin (ran earlier) with Lahqa (then won) 2nd.
5. 9 – WINTER PALACE – Should have won last time but it is harder for him this weight scale… Has case still.

Race 8 – Listed Vase – 1400m
1. 8 – PRECIOUS GEM – Terrific return from her in Hareeba Stks and she is always a better 2nd-up mare! She split Amicus and May’s Dream 2nd-up last prep in a G2. She has won twice 2nd-up. Value/Overs.
2. 4 – DAN ZEPHYR – Touch unlucky and also super in that Hareeba. Also much better suited 1400m. Was flying at this trip prior running fast times. Go well.
3. 1 – CHARMED HARMONY – Led until the line in Vic Hcp beating all-bar a serious G1 horse. Flies here at 1400m. Has speed to offset gate. Big weight here. Has to go in!
4. 5 – JIMANDO – Covered ground in that Vic Hcp and ran well. Has 2.5kg on Charmed Harmony and might be ready 4th-up…
5. 9 – CHOOSE – Has a good case back at 1400m.
6. 14 – INSPECTOR – Wide in Hareeba and good… Has case also and best blowout hope?

Race 9 – BM78 – 1100m
1. 15 – NIMINIPIMINY – Resumes. Went to new level last prep. She has fresh form and did like her jump out! Value hope in tough finish.
2. 11 – RUETTIGER – Resumes. Top win fresh last prep running over the talented We’ve Got This off similar break. Is building top dry record.
3. 8 – SUNDAY ESCAPE – Wilted late fresh but since freshened. Beat Churchill Dancer prior and that is now G2/G1 form. If right, hard to catch.
4. 14 – SHADES OF BELLA – Resumes. Just missed Pretty Possum fresh last prep. Good fresh mare. In this.
5. 16 – ANDRASSY – A hope fresh too but bit scared 1100m a touch sharp…??
6. 1 – GENERAL JACKSON – Back a few levels but 63.5kg is an ask…

RANDWICK

Race 1 – C3 – 1200m
1. 1 – STRANGERINPARADISE – Suited back to 1200m and back to C3 here. She was flying prior to last start miss and running times. Bowman replaces Blake McDougall. $15??
2. 8 – ONEMOREGYPSY – Ran well in good race Canberra when 7-weekks off then Wasn’t so strong at 1300m last time. Better suited here.
3. 13 – CRICLE GAME – Resumes. Looked good winning maiden start two then wasn’t disgraced behind Alaskan Rose who’s since run well in Group class. Big watch!
4. 6 – MURRANJI – Top return at 1000m. Drops in weight and up to 1200m here. Good record dry last prep.
5. 12 – DYLAN’S DYNASTY – Ran time fresh in BM55 class and has more upside than a few here…

Race 2 – BM83 sprint – 1200m
1. 4 – AMMIRATA – Resumes. Two very good trials. Won latest under a hold. Big win with big weight fresh last prep in BM72 grade. Top pick.
2. 3 – SANTA ANA LANE – Unfit but too good fresh. Got lost 2nd-up but nice late. Quickly put race away last week but Handiest kicked-in and was too strong, this guy thrashed third. Back to 1200m only query.
3. 7 – LUCKY CAN BE – Held-up and charged through line back on inside in Birthday Card. Close-up in strong race prior too. Back a notch here. In this.
4. 1 – MOHAVE – Resumes. Trialled well. Just no match late R’hilll fresh last prep and spelled. Placed to smart Dublin Lass fresh prior. Has 61kg but ist 55kg limit.
5. 6 – RYKER – Resumes. First trial was good. Second was average. Beat all-bar Happy Clapper fresh last prep though !!

Race 3 – Frank Packer Plate – 3YO – 2000m
1. 9 – ASINARA – Had backing in G1 last time and went way back then made up nice ground. That was her first go 2000m. Drawn better today and fancy they sit closer. Looks some overs early doors?
2. 1 – OLD NORTH – Did impress in Tulloch Stks that same day, did run quicker time than fillies but their 1st-1400m split was some 10-11L quicker so, that had too! That win was his first go 2000m also. J-mac rides this, not Asinara.
3. 3 – HE’S OUR ROKKII – Overcame huge betting drift and a wide run (fence was off) to win Carbine Club. First go 2000m here and unknown. Any jar out of track a plus.
4. 11 – ZASORCERESS – Gave huge sight in Oaks lead-up and dodged feature at 2400m for this, 2000m. Maiden but on the radar.
5. 2 – TORGERSEN – Copped strife in Derby. Charged late behind Old North prior so must have a case off that…

Race 4 – J Carr Stks – 3YOF – 1400m
1. 5 – DENMAGIC – Gap between runs and probably should have won two-back then way back and held-up last time, she did find the line. 1400m suits now. Silly odds again?
2. 1 – PEARLS – Chased Tempt Me Not hard here in that PJ Bell and did have a gap on third. Was 2L off Ghisoni and Single Gaze at 1400m three-back. Goes close!
3. 6 – DENPURR – Made some ground fresh then battled a bit on wet last time. Her 1400m form through last prep is strong for this… Hits back?
4. 7 – TREMEZZINA – Backed but bloused late WFM latest with 58kg. They ran time. Her form ties in easily with key rivals here from Reginald Allen last prep.
5. 4 – LADY SNIPER – Top win 2nd-up Gosford Guineas. Just even last time but did overrace early… Can she settle??

Race 5 – G1 Champagne Stks – 2YO – 1600m
1. 9 – YANKEE ROSE – Excellent in Slipper then to 1400m and mile too good (gap to 3rd too) in Sires. Should eat 1600m. Clear top pick but reports of lameness after work Wednesday is a worry !?!?
2. 7 – OBSCURA – Made good ground after getting mile back last time and ran Prized Icon to 1L… He then won and has placed to Telperion (clear 2nd in Sires to Yankee Rose). Hmmm…
3. 1 – PRIZED ICON – Yep, placed to Telperion (and Capitalist) early. Stepped to mile latest and was way too good! Proven trip then!
4. 4 – EL SICARIO – Wary of all these Kiwi’s now! Drew bad in NZ Sires and beat all-bar Luna Rossa in G1 there…
5. 10 – FARAWAY TOWN – With luck she finishes a bit closer to Yankee Rose last time so has a case if that girl isn’t 100%… Mile should suit.

Race 6 – Hall Mark Stks – 1200m
1. 2 – FAST N ROCKING – Not as dynamic on Soft last time. Very good in G1 WFA William Reid prior and perfectly suited these ‘’second level’’ sprint races at SWP level.
2. 3 – TARGET IN SIGHT – Gave Malaguerra weight, and a scare fresh-up. Has won twice 2nd-up and does like Randwick. Go well.
3. 11 – MUSIC MAGNATE – Resumes. Excellent trials. Second to Fell Swoop fresh last prep in fast time reads well now. Before that he ran second to Peeping! She just beat Azkadellia in a G1.
4. 8 – ARTLEE – Resumes. Two terrific trials himself. Flew at the wire and beaten .7L when 3rd fresh last prep here to Dothraki at 1100m… The 1200m suit better.
5. 7 – THAT’S A GOOD IDEA – Resumes. Last two rest runs are 1L 3rd Terravista and a win over Target In Sight in sizzling time. 1200m fresh??
6. 4 – BACHMAN – Ready to win but wants further now???

Race 7 – G1 All Aged Stks – WFA – 1400m
1. 1 – KERMADEC – If right, he is the class here and the proper G1 horse. Clear second best behind Winx (Press Statement was 3rd) then had issues in Doncaster when a bad last.
2. 6 – PRESS STATEMENT – Measured up well in George Ryder when 2L off Kermadec and month off back to 1400m looks ideal here. Go well.
3. 4 – MALAGUERRA – Two impressive wins this prep. Two impressive wins at 1400m last prep, in one of those, he beat subsequent G1 winner Good Project. WFA is a new test but fancy he runs well.
4. 7 – ENGLISH – Outstanding trial and fresh win. Was looking for further 2nd-up (ran great splits) then ran home hard in TJ Smith but Chautauqua was too strong. She acts like she wants 1400m now. Goes in for sure.
5. 2 – BLACK HEART BART – Great chase/win with weight in Vic Hcp and beat Chautauqua prior (in Hcp)… 1400m is his go !!

Race 8 – JRA Plate – 2000m
1. 3 – GUARDINI – Out-toughed by Leebaz but ran well 2nd-up to 2000m (second Oz start) and wasn’t far off The United States fresh prior. Peaks now. Draws wide so?? Can win with luck and worth a go $8+???
2. 4 – HAVANA COOLER – Big win fresh at 1500m from way back. Was not as dynamic 2nd-up last prep but did have excuses. Is suited 2000m in a race with plenty of holes in it.
3. 17 – MAURUS – Has Libran form and clear winning hope if they sneak in?
4. 11 – SADLERS LAKE – Sound return then some excuses latest. Wasn’t far off Stratum Star and Awesome Rock at 2000m last prep. D-Day looms !!
5. 2 – MESSENE – Genuine efforts his last two at 2000m and will be on-speed. No recent wins though.
6. 7 – HAWKSPUR – Not the horse he was can pulled out good fresh run in that Havana Cooler race and still capable this level.

Race 9 – Hcp – 1400m
1. 13 – NANCY – Wide VS pattern and good fresh then touch stiff in Newmarket race. Like her at 1400m and she maps nicely here.
2. 9 – SNIPPETS LAND – Wide too soon and good effort in that Doncaster Prelude for mine. Back to 1400m here and drawn out… gets to silly odds? Can win I feel.
3. 11 – PAJARO – Resumes. Solid trial. Made ground 2.8L 7th to That’s A Good Idea in fast time fresh last prep at 1100m. This trip suits better fresh-up.
4. 5 – MEDCAUT – Off 10-week break now. Split Bull Point and Libran last time on Soft. Drier the better for him and to 1400m non-issue.
5. 12 – RELIGIFY – Finally out to 1400m range his last two and he has been super, latest he was nutted by gifted one and had big weight.

Good luck !

Gator
🙂

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